Der Haken: U.S. Presidential Elections - Prediction
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U.S. Presidential Elections - Prediction · 2008-11-02
In my eyes markets perform fine, to predict certain outcomes of ... whatever. So, let's check the Iowa Electronic Markets for a prediction of next weeks U.S. presidential election outcome. First check the data of the recent elections:
Gore vs. Bush 2000
Bush vs. Kerry 2004
Well, knowing this and knowing who actually won we can check this year's prices.
McCain vs Obama 2008
For me Obama will be the winner on wednesday and therefore will become 56th president of the U.S.A.. Pretty sure.
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