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U.S. Presidential Elections - Prediction · 2008-11-02

In my eyes markets perform fine, to predict certain outcomes of ... whatever. So, let's check the Iowa Electronic Markets for a prediction of next weeks U.S. presidential election outcome. First check the data of the recent elections:

Gore vs. Bush 2000

Bush vs. Gore 2000

Bush vs. Kerry 2004

Bush vs. Kerry

Well, knowing this and knowing who actually won we can check this year's prices.

McCain vs Obama 2008

McCain vs Obama

For me Obama will be the winner on wednesday and therefore will become 56th president of the U.S.A.. Pretty sure.

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